Another beautiful day in paradise

Translation: It’s going to be a beautiful day. On Tuesday and Wednesday it may rain, but next weekend will be sunny and warm. – Jack

Raw from the NWS:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
348 AM PDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS…GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NW
CALIFORNIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. LATE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AN
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INTERIOR.

&&

.DISCUSSION…SAT IMAGES THIS MORNING ARE SHOWING SLIGHTLY MORE
STRATUS AROUND THAN YESTERDAY MORNING ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF
CAPE MENDOCINO. THESE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BURN OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY
AGAIN THIS MORNING WITH MOST OF THE AREA CLEAR BY NOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE AIRMASS.

MODELS HAVE FINALLY COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT AND MORE CONSISTENT
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTH
FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA AND BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE AREA ON MONDAY.
THE NAM AND THE ECMWF WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SO TRENDED THE
FORECAST TOWARDS THAT SOLUTION. FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE ON
MONDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVERHEAD SO MORE
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST. INLAND
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM MAKING
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TRINITY ALPS AND THE YOLLA BOLLAS AS THE
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO APPROACH THE AREA ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE ENTIRE AREA AS
THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE COAST. MODELS ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT
INSTABILITY OVER INLAND AREAS SO WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON QPF…HOWEVER I STILL
THINK THEY ARE ON THE HIGH END SO TRIMMED THEM BACK. KEPT STORMS TOTALS
AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH IN MOST AREAS WITH UP TO A HALF IN
POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREAS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS INLAND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
THE INLAND AREAS WITH TUESDAY BEING THE COOLEST DAY.

THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND MODELS ARE SHOWING A DECENT RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND BACK
TO SOME OF THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON BY NEXT WEEKEND.

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