Sunshine

Coming soon: Sunshine!

Raw from the NWS:

.SYNOPSIS…A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA
EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES…WITH DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONT MAY PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ON THURSDAY
BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION…BASED ON SATELLITE TRENDS…COLD FRONT CURRENTLY
ABOUT 200 MILES W OF EUREKA. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS
MORNING ALONG WITH SEVERAL BANDS OF LIGHT RAIN. THIS IS A WARM
SYSTEM…WITH SNOW LEVELS CURRENTLY ABOVE 6KFT…BUT DROPPING TO
3500 FT TONIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. QPF AMOUNTS THIS MORNING SHOULD
BE UP TO 0.5 INCH IN DEL NORTE CO TO AROUND A 0.10 INCH ON
MENDOCINO CO. PRECIP WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT…NO MORE THAN ISO OR SCT -SHRA ACTIVITY BY LATE MORNING AND
MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE SUN MAY EVEN PEAK OUT AGAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. A WEAK SECONDARY IMPULSE IN THE CYCLONIC
FLOW MAY IMPACT FAR NRN CA WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT
MON…BUT OTHERWISE RIDGING WILL BEGIN BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED WEAKER WITH A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST ON WED. WITH BUILDING HEIGHTS AND WARMING ALOFT…ANY -SHRA
ACTIVITY OUT OVER THE OCEAN WILL HAVE A HARD TIME SURVIVING OVER
LAND…WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW TERRAIN-DRIVEN SHOWERS DURING
THE AFTERNOON HRS. FOR THIS REASON WE HAVE REMOVED ALL PRECIP
MENTION DURING THIS TIME. AN UPPER LOW DROPPING INTO THE PACNW
WILL SEND A WEAK FRONT INTO NW CA ON THU. HAVE STUCK WITH THE CHANCE
OF RAIN IN FOR THIS PERIOD…WITH ANY QPF BEING LIGHT AND FAIRLY
SHORT-LIVED. BY FRIDAY…A STRONGER RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE E PAC WITH
WARMING TEMPS ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
FOG/STRATUS ALONG THE NORTH COAST. MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT OUR
NEXT RAIN PRODUCER DROPPING OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA SUN INTO
MON. UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH WITH DISAGREEMENTS ON STRENGTH AND
PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER LOW. HAVE DECIDED TO STICK WITH CLIMATOLOGY
FOR NOW UNTIL THE PICTURE BECOMES A LITTLE CLEARER. JCA

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