Weather Update

So it looks like it will remain dry until Saturday afternoon or evening, when there’s a chance that it might rain, but it might not. It’s a “threat” of rain.

Raw from the NWS in Eureka:

.SYNOPSIS…A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARDS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
TODAY. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE REGION…AND A
THREAT OF RAIN BY TOMORROW.

&&

.DISCUSSION…NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ONGOING
FORECAST. THE FROST ADVISORY CONTINUES INTO MID MORNING AS TEMPS
ACROSS THE N COAST INTERIOR CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL THIS MORNING.
WHILE A FEW SITES ALONG THE REDWOOD COAST COULD PULL OFF FROST TEMPS
AROUND SUNRISE, WILL CONTINUE WITH NO ADVISORY DUE TO THE LIMITED
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE LOWER TEMPS.
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO ONSHORE FLOW BY
LATE MORNING AS THE DIURNAL PATTERNS KICK IN. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ALSO
BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS A WEAK WARM FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE AREA.
THE PARENT LOW IS NEAR 36N140W MOVING TO THE ENE, AS ANALYZED BY
NCEP/OPC. THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE CONTINUES TO BE WHEN THE
PRECIP WILL BEGIN AND HOW LONG IT WILL LAST. MODELS CONTINUE TO
PULL MOISTURE UP THROUGH THE INTERIOR CALIFORNIA VALLEY AHEAD OF
THE WARM FRONT, THUS KEEPING THE BULK OF THE PRECIP OVER TRINITY
COUNTY FOR TOMORROW. THIS DOES APPEAR SOMEWHAT INFLUENCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING. THE COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY DRY
INTO SAT AFT, WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP BY THEN. A QUICK
SPLIT IN THE FLOW FRI NGT INTO SAT, FOLLOWED BY A WEAK S/W ON SUN,
IS WHAT WILL BRING THE CHANCES OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND. THE SPLIT
WILL TROUGH OVER US WITH A RIDGE OVER THE OR/WA REGIONS. DID NOT
MAKE MANY, IF ANY, CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AFTER SUN, SO THE
FOLLOWING IS FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION. BFG

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION…WE WILL SEE THE TAIL OF THE FRONT (SUNDAY)
WITH THIS SYSTEM…WITH THE BULK OF THE RAIN IN DEL NORTE COUNTY.
TIMING IS STILL UNCERTAIN…SO WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES AROUND
50-60% AT THIS TIME. AFTER THIS S/W SCOOTS ON BY TO OUR NORTH…WE
SHOULD SEE 24-36 HOURS OF DRY WEATHER BEFORE THE NEXT S/W TROUGH
BRINGS A THREAT OF PRECIP TO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF AREA EITHER
TUE NIGHT OR WED. DJB

Advertisements

Leave a comment

Filed under Uncategorized

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s