Weather update

So today and Monday will be nice. Then it will rain. It’s going to be chilly. But next weekend will be totally awesome beyond belief.

Raw from the NWS:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
310 AM PDT SUN APR 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS…HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA TODAY.
AFTER A COOL MORNING…WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO MUCH OF THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL RETURN LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION…THE FROST ADVISORY CONTINUES THIS MORNING UNTIL 9AM
FOR THE NORTH COAST AND MENDOCINO INTERIORS. EARLY MORNING
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING THE FREEZING LEVEL AROUND 2700FT IN THE N
COAST INTERIOR. CONDITIONS LOOK GOOD FOR A VERIFIED FROST EVENT,
WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS SUB FREEZING. IN THE WAKE OF THE FROST THIS
MORNING, TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER NICELY UNDER A SPRINGTIME
SOLAR INSOLATION. INLAND REGIONS WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
TEMPS OF SAT, WHILE THE COASTAL AREAS MAY GET A BIT MORE OF A
WARMING TODAY DUE TO A SLIGHT OFFSHORE COMPONENT TO THE WINDS. THE
ADJMEXBC WAS USED FOR MAXT THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST AS IT
APPEARS TO BE CATCHING THE FLUCTUATIONS IN THIS SPRING PATTERN BETTER
THE OTHER MODELS. BOI VERIFY SEEMS TO BE FINE WITH THIS ALSO.
MOSGUIDEBC HAS BEEN STRUGGLING UNDER THIS DYNAMIC PATTERN.

MODELS ARE INDICATING DECENT THICKNESSES OVER THE AREA THROUGH MON
AFT, AT WHICH POINT THE NEXT FRONT WILL BE CLOSING IN. CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN TO FILTER IN AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT AND MON, BUT MAINLY
OVER THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. EVENTUALLY THEY WILL REACH THE SRN
ZONES AS WELL. MODELS INDICATE THE FRONT WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES THE
AREA ON TUE. AS SUCH, THE POPS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN IN THE S AND
UP IN THE N WHERE THE FRONT WILL STILL HAVE MORE OF ITS STRUCTURE. A
FAIRLY MERIDIONAL UPPER PATTERN WILL SET UP BEHIND THIS SFC FRONT AS
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE AREA FOR THU. THIS MEANS A PULL
OF COOL UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE SRN GULF OF AK FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF
THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING THE OPPORTUNITY FOR ANOTHER FROST ADVISORY
FOR THE NORTH COAST AND MENDO INTERIORS TUE NGT INTO WED MRN, AS
WELL AS THE FOLLOWING TWO NGTS, AS COOL AIR SETTLES INTO PLACE OVER
NW CALIFORNIA. AFTER A WEEK OF COOL MARINE INFLUENCED AIR, NEXT SAT
IS LOOKING TO BE THE BRIGHT SPOT ON THE HORIZON. WHILE THERE WILL BE
BREAKS THROUGH THE WEEK WITH PERIODS OF SUN, SAT COULD WELL RIVAL
THIS WEEKEND.

OVERALL A FAIR SUN AND MON ARE EXPECTED FOLLOWED BY A COOL SHOWERY
WEEK, THEN CAPPED BY A POTENTIALLY NICE SAT. BFG

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