Weather Update and Mad River monitoring

On Thursday, rain was coming down in buckets. The National Weather Service measured 1.22 inches at the airport in Mack Town. As of 9 a.m. Friday, the Mad River was at 11. 92 feet at the gauge near North Bank Road and Highway 299. The NWS predicts that levels will peak at 13.8 feet Saturday night. Don’t worry. That’s well below flood stage, which is 22 ft. at that location.

You can view all sorts of fancy graphics by clicking here.

As for the weather, it looks like mostly rain through the weekend.

Raw weather “discussion” from the NWS below:

FXUS66 KEKA 251155
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
4 AM PDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS…TWO MORE SYSTEMS IN THE SERIES ARE HEADING TOWARD THE
COAST AND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW TO NW CALIFORNIA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION…RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THIS
MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE THU AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHORT WAVE.
THE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AND MORNING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH
RAPIDLY THIS MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVE RIDGING AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING. AS THE FLOW IS SO
PROGRESSIVE ATTM BY AFTERNOON THE MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE RAPIDLY APPROACHING SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WITH
RAIN AND SNOW BEGINNING AGAIN BEFORE SUNSET. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
INTO THE COAST FURTHER NORTH THAN EITHER OF THE RECENT SYSTEMS SO WE
WILL SEE A PATTERN DOMINATED BY A MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH. SO
WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND AT HIGHER ELEVATION NEAR THE COAST ARE
EXPECTED TO BE GALE FORCE OVER THE WATERS AND QUITE BREEZY OVER
LAND. WITH A SNOW LEVEL OF 2500 TO 3000 FEET COMBINED WITH THE
EXPECTED WINDS HAVE ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW ABOVE 3000 FEET. MODELS DO INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL
MOVE THROUGH REASONABLY FAST SO HAVE BACKED OFF SOME ON THE SNOW
AMOUNT. AFTER MIDDAY DAY SAT EXPECT AN 18 TO 24 HR BREAK BEFORE THE
SECOND SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST. AS RECENT EXPERIENCE HAS INDICATED
THE TIMING OF SYSTEMS HAS BEEN SPEEDING UP AND I WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE THE SUNDAY SYSTEM REACH US SOONER THAN CURRENTLY
FORECAST. THIS IS A KNOWN BIAS OF THE MODELS TO PLAY CATCH UP DURING
VERY PROGRESSIVE SITUATIONS LIKE THIS ONE. SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO
MON THEN BEGIN TO TAPER AS A RIDGE BUILDS FOR MID WEEK. GENERALLY
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUE INTO WED BEFORE THE CLOUDS BEGIN TO
MOVE BACK IN LATE WED INTO THU. MODELS CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN DECENT
AGREEMENT INTO MID WEEK. MKN

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1 Comment

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One response to “Weather Update and Mad River monitoring

  1. Random Guy

    handy link for us ‘yakers.

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